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November 28th, 2008

Home Builders Lobby for Federal Aid

The financial market struggles as home prices fall and foreclosures increase. Home builders call the Congress’ attention to stimulate demand for homes, without pulling up home values. However, economists are afraid that federal intervention may just encourage overbuilding.

Homebuilders want a $250 billion-worth stimulus package known as “Fix Housing First”, which argues that financial markets will not recover until falling home prices are stopped. They are appealing for mortgage rate subsidies and greater tax credits.

Critics say that this offer is expensive and promotes more of home purchases than loan modifications. The proposal offers a tax credit of 10% of the property’s value, making it $22,000, about three times of the $7,000 credit that has been earlier approved by Congress. However, builders say this has never been enough.

Builders call for interest rate subsidies, to bring rates down from 6.2% to 3% for loans in the first half of next year and 4% on the second half. Realtors push for a 4.5% interest rate for its estimate show that a 1% decline in interest rates makes about 500,000 to 800,000 home sales. However, this proposal will cost the Treasury about $143 billion.

Some economists see the need to stop building since a home price floor would just keep the supply and demand for housing out of sync. Interest rate subsidies may work but sometimes, no matter what kind of credits offered, if buyers do not have a job or enough income then they might not take the offer.

With the declining prices of foreclosures and tightening mortgage credit, home prices just continue falling. Coming up with an incentive to buy, instead of refinancing mechanisms could make buyers purchase a new house on better terms and give up their existing one.

Larger tax credit could attract buyers but it does not necessarily save the economy from falling home prices, increasing foreclosures, and the mismatch in the supply and demand for housing.

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September 9th, 2008

Foreclosure Homes Reach Record 1.2M

According to a report released by the Mortgage Bankers Association, the number of homes in some stage of foreclosure has reached a record of 1.2 million for the second quarter of the year. In addition, the delinquency rate was also at an all time high, with 2.9 million homeowners missing their mortgage payments.

Foreclosure Homes Reach Record 1.2M

For the group, the foreclosure numbers is being dictated by the states hit hardest by the subprime mess. They include California, Nevada and Florida. Even if the foreclosure situations in states like Massachusetts, Maryland and Texas have improved considerably during the same period, they were still overwhelmed by the increases.

Subsequently, 39 percent of all foreclosure filings during the second quarter recorded came from Florida and California. Other states that contributed considerably include Michigan, Nevada, Rhode Island, Ohio, Arizona and Indiana. These states have foreclosure rates that are above the nation’s average.

Aside from this, the subprime mortgages also accounted for 36 percent of the total foreclosure filings. This figure is quite depressing considering that subprime loans represent just 6 percent of the total outstanding loans. Compared to fixed rate mortgages, the figure for the subprime loans is nearly 20 times more.

To make matters worse, it would seem that the subprime loans are not the only ones defaulting. There was also a significant increase in delinquency rate for the prime loans in the second quarter – 3.9 percent compared to 3.7 percent of the first quarter and 2.7 percent from last year.

For experts and analysts, any stabilization experienced in the subprime market will still not herald the end of the foreclosure crisis since the prime loans are starting to catch up. This only means that the problem is not only confined to the credit industry and is probably fueled by weak economic conditions.

The only good news that can be observed from the report is the slowing down of home price decline in the past months. With home prices stabilizing a bit, delinquencies might level off as well.

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